Items we track: the packs that hold them and the odds

One card per item. Each shows the cheapest pack that holds it on the sites we track, always with its chance, and how many packs carry it. It's a catalogue, not a ranking: a cheap pack with a 1 in 50,000 chance is still a long shot.

Home » Items

The cheapest pack that holds it, with that pack's chance

The best chance in any pack, from 1 in 1,000,000 on the left to 1 in 10 on the right

The sites that have it and how many of their packs hold it

Watches

16 items

Audemars Piguet

Audemars Piguet Royal Oak

From a $5.92 pack · 1 in 1,000,000

Best chance 1 in 50

At least 33 packs on 4 sites: LuxDrop, RillaBox, PackDraw, Cases.gg

Cartier

Cartier Santos

From a $2.58 pack · 1 in 500,000

Best chance 1 in 50

At least 32 packs on 5 sites: GOATbox.gg, LuxDrop, PackDraw, RillaBox, Cases.gg

Swatch

Omega x Swatch MoonSwatch

From a $0.82 pack · 1 in 100,000

Best chance 1 in 8

At least 29 packs on 5 sites: PackDraw, LuxDrop, Cases.gg, GOATbox.gg, RillaBox

Omega

Omega Speedmaster

From an $11.03 pack · 1 in 50,000

Best chance 1 in 100

At least 18 packs on 3 sites: LuxDrop, RillaBox, Cases.gg

Patek Philippe

Patek Philippe Aquanaut

From a $74.32 pack · 1 in 1,000,000

Best chance 1 in 33

At least 24 packs on 4 sites: PackDraw, LuxDrop, Cases.gg, RillaBox

Patek Philippe

Patek Philippe Nautilus

From a $272.11 pack · 1 in 100,000

Best chance 1 in 63

At least 32 packs on 4 sites: Cases.gg, PackDraw, LuxDrop, RillaBox

Richard Mille

Richard Mille

From a $201 pack · 1 in 5,000

Best chance 1 in 50

At least 23 packs on 4 sites: Cases.gg, PackDraw, RillaBox, LuxDrop

Rolex

Rolex Datejust

From a $1.89 pack · 1 in 200,000

Best chance 1 in 100

At least 32 packs on 4 sites: LuxDrop, Cases.gg, PackDraw, RillaBox

Rolex

Rolex Day-Date

From a $23.64 pack · 1 in 1,000,000

Best chance 1 in 67

At least 32 packs on 4 sites: PackDraw, Cases.gg, LuxDrop, RillaBox

Rolex

Rolex Cosmograph Daytona

From a $6.46 pack · 1 in 1,000,000

Best chance 1 in 200

At least 34 packs on 4 sites: LuxDrop, PackDraw, Cases.gg, RillaBox

Rolex

Rolex GMT-Master II

From a $3.02 pack · 1 in 1,000,000

Best chance 1 in 100

At least 33 packs on 4 sites: LuxDrop, RillaBox, PackDraw, Cases.gg

Rolex

Rolex Oyster Perpetual

From a $2.96 pack · 1 in 500,000

Best chance 1 in 20

At least 33 packs on 4 sites: PackDraw, RillaBox, Cases.gg, LuxDrop

Rolex

Rolex Sky-Dweller

From a $26.45 pack · 1 in 6,667

Best chance 1 in 25

At least 29 packs on 4 sites: LuxDrop, PackDraw, Cases.gg, RillaBox

Rolex

Rolex Submariner

From a $3.02 pack · 1 in 500,000

Best chance 1 in 500

At least 30 packs on 4 sites: LuxDrop, PackDraw, RillaBox, Cases.gg

Rolex

Rolex Yacht-Master

From a $65.68 pack · 1 in 20,000

Best chance 1 in 25

At least 30 packs on 4 sites: LuxDrop, PackDraw, Cases.gg, RillaBox

Sneakers

8 items

Nike

Air Jordan 1 Chicago

From a $0.68 pack · 1 in 100,000

Best chance 1 in 50

At least 26 packs on 4 sites: PackDraw, LuxDrop, RillaBox, Cases.gg

Nike

Dior x Air Jordan 1

From a $4.13 pack · 1 in 200,000

Best chance 1 in 100

At least 24 packs on 4 sites: LuxDrop, RillaBox, Cases.gg, PackDraw

Nike

Nike Air Mag

From an $87 pack · 1 in 10,000

Best chance 1 in 250

At least 12 packs on 3 sites: LuxDrop, PackDraw, RillaBox

Nike

Off-White x Nike

From a $0.51 pack · 1 in 100,000

Best chance 1 in 19

At least 40 packs on 4 sites: Cases.gg, PackDraw, LuxDrop, RillaBox

Adidas

Adidas Yeezy Boost 350 V2

From a $0.51 pack · 1 in 100,000

Best chance 1 in 4

At least 34 packs on 5 sites: Cases.gg, GOATbox.gg, PackDraw, LuxDrop, RillaBox

Streetwear

3 items

Chrome Hearts

Chrome Hearts

From a $0.99 pack · 1 in 55,556

Best chance 1 in 12

At least 31 packs on 5 sites: GOATbox.gg, PackDraw, LuxDrop, RillaBox, Cases.gg

Supreme

Supreme Box Logo

From a $0.61 pack · 1 in 333,333

Best chance 1 in 13

At least 35 packs on 5 sites: GOATbox.gg, Cases.gg, PackDraw, RillaBox, LuxDrop

Designer

7 items

Cartier

Cartier Love Bracelet

From a $25.55 pack · 1 in 10,000

Best chance 1 in 10

At least 19 packs on 4 sites: PackDraw, LuxDrop, RillaBox, Cases.gg

Dior

Dior Saddle Bag

From a $3.65 pack · 1 in 25,000

Best chance 1 in 50

At least 22 packs on 4 sites: LuxDrop, PackDraw, RillaBox, Cases.gg

Goyard

Goyard Saint Louis Tote

From a $2.58 pack · 1 in 125,000

Best chance 1 in 56

At least 24 packs on 5 sites: GOATbox.gg, RillaBox, LuxDrop, PackDraw, Cases.gg

Hermès

Hermès Birkin

From a $14.35 pack · 1 in 20,000

Best chance 1 in 200

At least 31 packs on 4 sites: PackDraw, LuxDrop, RillaBox, Cases.gg

Louis Vuitton

Louis Vuitton Keepall

From a $1.50 pack · 1 in 10,000,000

Best chance 1 in 13

At least 33 packs on 5 sites: GOATbox.gg, PackDraw, LuxDrop, Cases.gg, RillaBox

Cars

4 items

Lamborghini

Lamborghini Urus

From a $161.58 pack · 1 in 1,000,000

Best chance 1 in 303

At least 22 packs on 4 sites: PackDraw, LuxDrop, RillaBox, Cases.gg

Mercedes-Benz

Mercedes-AMG G 63

From a $49.99 pack · 1 in 500,000

Best chance 1 in 500

At least 20 packs on 4 sites: RillaBox, LuxDrop, PackDraw, Cases.gg

Porsche

Porsche 911

From a $125.08 pack · 1 in 50,000

Best chance 1 in 100

At least 24 packs on 4 sites: LuxDrop, PackDraw, RillaBox, Cases.gg

Tesla

Tesla Cybertruck

From a $113.20 pack · 1 in 1,000,000

Best chance 1 in 100

At least 18 packs on 4 sites: LuxDrop, PackDraw, RillaBox, Cases.gg

Tech

7 items

Apple

Apple Vision Pro

From a $1.31 pack · 1 in 90,909

Best chance 1 in 100

At least 28 packs on 5 sites: LuxDrop, GOATbox.gg, RillaBox, PackDraw, Cases.gg

Apple

iPhone 17 Pro Max

From a $0.86 pack · 1 in 200,000

Best chance 1 in 100

At least 23 packs on 4 sites: PackDraw, LuxDrop, RillaBox, Cases.gg

Apple

iPhone 18 Pro Max

From a $1.16 pack · 1 in 100,000

Best chance 1 in 267

At least 16 packs on 3 sites: PackDraw, GOATbox.gg, LuxDrop

Apple

Apple MacBook Pro

From a $0.86 pack · 1 in 200,000

Best chance 1 in 100

At least 35 packs on 5 sites: PackDraw, LuxDrop, GOATbox.gg, RillaBox, Cases.gg

Nintendo

Nintendo Switch 2

From a $0.41 pack · 1 in 100,000

Best chance 1 in 29

At least 15 packs on 3 sites: PackDraw, RillaBox, LuxDrop

Sony

PlayStation 5 Pro

From a $0.41 pack · 1 in 100,000

Best chance 1 in 31

At least 22 packs on 5 sites: PackDraw, GOATbox.gg, LuxDrop, RillaBox, Cases.gg

NVIDIA

NVIDIA GeForce RTX 5090

From a $4.75 pack · 1 in 1,000,000

Best chance 1 in 250

At least 17 packs on 4 sites: GOATbox.gg, PackDraw, LuxDrop, Cases.gg

Pokémon

3 items

Other

2 items

Medicom Toy

Bearbrick 1000%

From a $1.72 pack · 1 in 200,000

Best chance 1 in 67

At least 31 packs on 4 sites: LuxDrop, PackDraw, Cases.gg, RillaBox

Pop Mart

Pop Mart Labubu

From a $0.97 pack · 1 in 500,000

Best chance 1 in 5

At least 29 packs on 4 sites: PackDraw, RillaBox, LuxDrop, Cases.gg

How to read the numbers

The chance is the site's own odds for that item in that pack, as the pack page showed it on the day we checked. "1 in N" is the same number turned around: 0.01% is 1 in 10,000.

The price is what one open of the pack costs, never the price of the item. That's why it never appears without its chance. The cheapest pack is rarely the best chance.

The value is what each site says the item is worth. Sites value the same item differently, so an item page shows the range. Packs are entertainment, and the house always wins. If it stops being fun, GambleAware can help.

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