Hermès · DesignerPacks checked 10 Nov 2026
Hermès Birkin
The packs that hold it, cheapest first, with the chance each site shows. We found it in at least 31 packs on 4 sites.
- 4 sites we review
- 31 packs found
- best chance 1 in 200
- odds as each site shows them
New to packs? How they work in three steps
How packs work, with this item's numbers
- A pack is a mystery boxEach pack on a site lists its items and the chance of each one.
- The price buys one openingOne opening costs $14.35 for a 1 in 20,000 chance at this one (Winter Wishes on PackDraw). The site draws one item at random.
- 1 in 20,000 is your chanceOn average, one opening in 20,000 gives the Hermès Birkin. The others give something else from the pack.
On average a pack pays back less than it costs. The house always wins.
Cheapest way in
One opening$14.35
Chance at the item1 in 20,000
Review Promo codes Affiliate link: search for "Winter Wishes" on PackDraw.
What does this price buy?
$14.35 buys one opening of Winter Wishes with a 1 in 20,000 chance at the Hermès Birkin, not the item itself.
On average, one opening in 20,000 gives it. The others give something else from the pack.
The button is our affiliate link: it opens PackDraw with our code, not the pack, so search for "Winter Wishes" there.
How likely am I to get it?
Each site's best chance for this item, on one scale. The longer the bar, the likelier.
- PackDraw 1 in 10,000Classic Babe, $289.74 pack
- LuxDrop 1 in 1,000JohnCS, $597.93 pack
- RillaBox 1 in 383Birkin, $2,099.99 pack
- Cases.gg 1 in 200Black Card, $1,741.29 pack
The best chance is 1 in 200 for $1,741.29 a pack, in Black Card on Cases.gg.
What the sites value it at
$10,320 to $270,000
Why do the values differ?
Each site puts its own value on the item, and one name can cover several models or editions. It is what the site says the item is worth, not what you pay: you pay the pack's price.
Every pack we found it in
Cheapest first · 31 of 31 shown
How do I read this list?
- One opening
- The pack's price on the site. It buys one opening, and one item comes out.
- Chance
- How often this item comes out of that pack, as the site shows it. "1 in 20,000" means one opening in 20,000, on average. The bar runs from 1 in 1,000,000 to 1 in 10.
- Site's value
- What the site says the item is worth, next to the item's name on the site.
- Find
- Our affiliate link. It opens the site with our code, not the pack, so search for the pack by its name.
We list up to the eight cheapest packs per site and the one with the best chance for its price.
| Pack | One opening | Chance | Find it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winter WishesCheapest PackDraw · Hermès Birkin 35 White Gulliver and Toile H Palladium Hardware · site's value $20,125 | $14.35 a pack | 1 in 20,0000.005% | Find |
| Mother's Day PackDraw · Hermès Birkin 35 Bubblegum Togo Palladium Hardware · site's value $23,650 | $14.87 a pack | 1 in 50,0000.002% | Find |
| For Her PackDraw · Hermès Birkin 30 Bubblegum Epsom Palladium Hardware · site's value $31,350 | $25.55 a pack | 1 in 20,0000.005% | Find |
| Get It All Back LuxDrop · Birkin 25 · site's value $29,150 | $41.54 a pack | 1 in 16,6670.006% | Find |
| Community Pack - Two PackDraw · Hermes Birkin Togo 30 Black · site's value $29,246 | $41.99 a pack | 1 in 100,0000.001% | Find |
| Soft Life RillaBox · Hermès Fuchsia and Iris Chèvre HSS Birkin 30 Palladium Hardware, 2012 · site's value $16,950 | $134.99 a pack | 1 in 10,4170.0096% | Find |
| Senorita LuxDrop · Birkin 35 · site's value $21,275 | $172.11 a pack | 1 in 50,0000.002% | Find |
| 1% Luxury LuxDrop · Birkin 35 Nata Clemence Gold Hardware · site's value $32,775 | $187.09 a pack | 1 in 4,0000.025% | Find |
| Luxe White Cases.gg · Hermès Special Order (HSS) Birkin 30 White and Black · site's value $43,800 | $203.81 a pack | 1 in 2,0000.05% | Find |
| Boss Babe RillaBox · Hermès White Togo Birkin 35 Gold Hardware, 2009 · site's value $10,320 | $219.99 a pack | 1 in 3,8610.026% | Find |
| Boss Babe RillaBox · Hermès Flamingo Togo Birkin 40 Palladium Hardware, 2011 · site's value $13,660 | $219.99 a pack | 1 in 6,8030.015% | Find |
| Boss Babe RillaBox · Hermès Ciel Togo and Bleu de Malte Bi-color Birkin 30 Palladium Hardware, 2011 · site's value $15,175 | $219.99 a pack | 1 in 10,8700.0092% | Find |
| Classic Babe PackDraw · Hermès Birkin 35 White Gulliver and Toile H Palladium Hardware · site's value $20,125 | $289.74 a pack | 1 in 10,0000.01% | Find |
| Classic Babe PackDraw · Pre-owned Hermès Birkin 35 Toile H and Ciel Clemence Palladium Hardware · site's value $20,625 | $289.74 a pack | 1 in 10,0000.01% | Find |
| Classic Babe PackDraw · Pre-owned Hermès Birkin 35 Toile H and Fauve Barenia Palladium Hardware · site's value $20,350 | $289.74 a pack | 1 in 10,0000.01% | Find |
| Classic Babe PackDraw · Pre-owned Hermès Birkin 35 Vibrato Rouge H Boxcalf Palladium Hardware · site's value $19,250 | $289.74 a pack | 1 in 10,0000.01% | Find |
| Designers Dream RillaBox · Hermès Fuchsia and Iris Chèvre HSS Birkin 30 Palladium Hardware, 2012 · site's value $16,950 | $309.99 a pack | 1 in 4,5050.022% | Find |
| Lavish Luxury RillaBox · Hermès 5P Bubblegum Pink Epsom HSS Retourne Birkin 35 Palladium Hardware, 2013 · site's value $24,850 | $339.99 a pack | 1 in 7,1430.014% | Find |
| Manifestation RillaBox · Hermès Lime, Sesame, Rose Confetti and Terre Battue Sunrise Epsom Birkin 35 Palladium Hard · site's value $35,300 | $359.99 a pack | 1 in 6,2890.016% | Find |
| Ting Things LuxDrop · Birkin 25 White and Rose Sakura Clemence Rose Gold Hardware · site's value $40,000 | $411.69 a pack | 1 in 10,0000.01% | Find |
| Ting Things LuxDrop · Birkin 35 Nata Clemence Gold Hardware · site's value $32,775 | $411.69 a pack | 1 in 10,0000.01% | Find |
| Ting Things LuxDrop · 2001 Birkin 40 handbag · site's value $125,000 | $411.69 a pack | 1 in 20,0000.005% | Find |
| Designer Wars Cases.gg · Hermès Birkin 30 Nata Swift and Jaune Poussin Toile · site's value $28,050 | $453 a pack | 1 in 5000.2% | Find |
| Baggy Cases.gg · Hermès Special Order (HSS) Tri-color Birkin 30 · site's value $30,250 | $496.59 a pack | 1 in 1,3700.073% | Find |
| Baggy Cases.gg · Hermès Special Order (HSS) Birkin 25 Black and Rose Azalee · site's value $35,200 | $496.59 a pack | 1 in 1,4080.071% | Find |
| Baggy Cases.gg · Hermès Special Order (HSS) Birkin 25 Bleu Hydra and Bleu Saphir · site's value $33,550 | $496.59 a pack | 1 in 1,4080.071% | Find |
| JohnCS LuxDrop · Birkin Togo 30 Black · site's value $37,950 | $597.93 a pack | 1 in 1,0000.1% | Find |
| Ballers Bliss RillaBox · Hermès Birkin Hermès Limited Edititon Nata, Cuivre, Lime, Mauve Sylvestre, Bleu Brume and Chai Swift Col · site's value $32,500 | $1,049.99 a pack | 1 in 1,1050.09% | Find |
| Black CardBest chance Cases.gg · Hermès Birkin 25 Black Ostrich Palladium Hardware · site's value $46,750 | $1,741.29 a pack | 1 in 2000.5% | Find |
| Birkin RillaBox · Hermès White Togo Birkin 35 Gold Hardware, 2009 · site's value $10,320 | $2,099.99 a pack | 1 in 3830.26% | Find |
| Birkin Stash Cases.gg · Hermès Birkin 25 Himalaya Niloticus Crocodile Palladium Hardware · site's value $270,000 | $2,457.32 a pack | 1 in 2,0000.05% | Find |
What we think
The Birkin is the bag you can't simply walk in and buy at Hermès, which is the whole point of it. In the cheapest pack the chance is 1 in 20,000, so expect the small items, not the piece.
Want the sites rather than one item? Our Designer Mystery Boxes list ranks them. Before you open a pack, read our PackDraw review, LuxDrop review, RillaBox review and Cases.gg review.
Other designer pieces we track
Cartier
Cartier Love Bracelet
From a $25.55 pack · 1 in 10,000
Best chance 1 in 10
At least 19 packs on 4 sites: PackDraw, LuxDrop, RillaBox, Cases.gg
Chanel
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From a $41.54 pack · 1 in 7,143
Best chance 1 in 80
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Dior
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Goyard
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From a $2.58 pack · 1 in 125,000
Best chance 1 in 56
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Packs checked 10 Nov 2026. The chance, the pack price and the value are each site's own, read from its pack pages. "1 in N" is 100 divided by the chance. The buttons are our affiliate links: they open the site with our code, not the pack itself. We may earn a commission; it never changes the odds or the order here, which is always cheapest first. Opening packs is entertainment, not a cheap way to get this item: the house always wins. If it stops being fun, GambleAware can help.
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