Omega · WatchesPacks checked 10 Nov 2026
Omega Speedmaster
The packs that hold it, cheapest first, with the chance each site shows. We found it in at least 18 packs on 3 sites.
- 3 sites we review
- 18 packs found
- best chance 1 in 100
- odds as each site shows them
New to packs? How they work in three steps
How packs work, with this item's numbers
- A pack is a mystery boxEach pack on a site lists its items and the chance of each one.
- The price buys one openingOne opening costs $11.03 for a 1 in 50,000 chance at this one (Cry Later on LuxDrop). The site draws one item at random.
- 1 in 50,000 is your chanceOn average, one opening in 50,000 gives the Omega Speedmaster. The others give something else from the pack.
On average a pack pays back less than it costs. The house always wins.
Cheapest way in
One opening$11.03
Chance at the item1 in 50,000
Review Promo codes Affiliate link: search for "Cry Later" on LuxDrop.
What does this price buy?
$11.03 buys one opening of Cry Later with a 1 in 50,000 chance at the Omega Speedmaster, not the item itself.
On average, one opening in 50,000 gives it. The others give something else from the pack.
The button is our affiliate link: it opens LuxDrop with our code, not the pack, so search for "Cry Later" there.
How likely am I to get it?
Each site's best chance for this item, on one scale. The longer the bar, the likelier.
- LuxDrop 1 in 400Omega, $1,228.49 pack
- RillaBox 1 in 1,181Omega, $169.99 pack
- Cases.gg 1 in 100Black & Yellow, $1,784.25 pack
The best chance is 1 in 100 for $1,784.25 a pack, in Black & Yellow on Cases.gg.
What the sites value it at
$6,700 to $71,000
Why do the values differ?
Each site puts its own value on the item, and one name can cover several models or editions. It is what the site says the item is worth, not what you pay: you pay the pack's price.
Every pack we found it in
Cheapest first · 18 of 18 shown
How do I read this list?
- One opening
- The pack's price on the site. It buys one opening, and one item comes out.
- Chance
- How often this item comes out of that pack, as the site shows it. "1 in 20,000" means one opening in 20,000, on average. The bar runs from 1 in 1,000,000 to 1 in 10.
- Site's value
- What the site says the item is worth, next to the item's name on the site.
- Find
- Our affiliate link. It opens the site with our code, not the pack, so search for the pack by its name.
We list up to the eight cheapest packs per site and the one with the best chance for its price.
| Pack | One opening | Chance | Find it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cry LaterCheapest LuxDrop · Omega Speedmaster Chronoscope Blue Strap · site's value $11,600 | $11.03 a pack | 1 in 50,0000.002% | Find |
| Cry Later LuxDrop · Omega Speedmaster Blue Side of the Moon · site's value $16,401 | $11.03 a pack | 1 in 100,0000.001% | Find |
| Omega RillaBox · Omega Speedmaster 38 - 38mm, Steel On Steel · site's value $6,700 | $169.99 a pack | 1 in 1,1810.085% | Find |
| Omega RillaBox · Omega Speedmaster X-33 Marstimer - 45mm, Titanium On Titanium · site's value $7,000 | $169.99 a pack | 1 in 1,2520.08% | Find |
| Omega RillaBox · Omega Speedmaster Moonwatch Professional - 42mm, Steel On Steel · site's value $8,100 | $169.99 a pack | 1 in 1,3570.074% | Find |
| Omega RillaBox · Omega Speedmaster Chronoscope - 43mm, Steel On Leather · site's value $9,100 | $169.99 a pack | 1 in 1,6890.059% | Find |
| Omega RillaBox · Omega Speedmaster Moonwatch Professional - 42mm, Moonshine Gold On Rubber · site's value $32,400 | $169.99 a pack | 1 in 10,5260.0095% | Find |
| Omega RillaBox · Omega Speedmaster Moonwatch Professional - 42mm, Sedna Gold On Sedna Gold · site's value $48,100 | $169.99 a pack | 1 in 26,3160.0038% | Find |
| Omega RillaBox · Omega Speedmaster Moonphase - 44.25mm, Platinum On Leather · site's value $71,000 | $169.99 a pack | 1 in 500,0000.0002% | Find |
| Blue Vs Red RillaBox · Omega Speedmaster 57 Red Dial - 40mm, Steel (2023) · site's value $8,600 | $174.99 a pack | 1 in 10,1010.0099% | Find |
| Time is Money Cases.gg · Omega Speedmaster Professional Moonwatch · site's value $7,900 | $953.85 a pack | 1 in 2270.44% | Find |
| Omega LuxDrop · Omega Speedmaster Blue Side of the Moon · site's value $16,401 | $1,228.49 a pack | 1 in 4000.25% | Find |
| Omega LuxDrop · Omega Speedmaster Chronoscope Blue Strap · site's value $11,600 | $1,228.49 a pack | 1 in 4000.25% | Find |
| Omega LuxDrop · Omega Speedmaster Racing Master Chronometer · site's value $10,899 | $1,228.49 a pack | 1 in 4000.25% | Find |
| Omega LuxDrop · Omega Speedmaster White Side of the Moon · site's value $15,120 | $1,228.49 a pack | 1 in 4000.25% | Find |
| Omega LuxDrop · Omega Speedmaster Chronoscope Bronze Gold Brown Dial · site's value $20,000 | $1,228.49 a pack | 1 in 6670.15% | Find |
| Omega LuxDrop · Omega Speedmaster Moonphase 44mm Sedna Gold · site's value $40,992 | $1,228.49 a pack | 1 in 8330.12% | Find |
| Black & YellowBest chance Cases.gg · Omega Speedmaster Professional Moonwatch · site's value $7,900 | $1,784.25 a pack | 1 in 1001% | Find |
What we think
The Speedmaster is the Omega chronograph that flew to the Moon. In the cheapest pack the chance is 1 in 100,000, so expect the small items, not the watch.
Want the sites rather than one item? Our Luxury Mystery Boxes list ranks them. Before you open a pack, read our LuxDrop review, RillaBox review and Cases.gg review.
Other watches we track
Audemars Piguet
Audemars Piguet Royal Oak Offshore
From a $110.62 pack · 1 in 10,000
Best chance 1 in 33
At least 25 packs on 4 sites: PackDraw, Cases.gg, RillaBox, LuxDrop
Audemars Piguet
Audemars Piguet Royal Oak
From a $5.92 pack · 1 in 1,000,000
Best chance 1 in 50
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Cartier
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From a $2.58 pack · 1 in 500,000
Best chance 1 in 50
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Swatch
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From a $0.82 pack · 1 in 100,000
Best chance 1 in 8
At least 29 packs on 5 sites: PackDraw, LuxDrop, Cases.gg, GOATbox.gg, RillaBox
Packs checked 10 Nov 2026. The chance, the pack price and the value are each site's own, read from its pack pages. "1 in N" is 100 divided by the chance. The buttons are our affiliate links: they open the site with our code, not the pack itself. We may earn a commission; it never changes the odds or the order here, which is always cheapest first. Opening packs is entertainment, not a cheap way to get this item: the house always wins. If it stops being fun, GambleAware can help.
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