Rolex · WatchesPacks checked 10 Nov 2026
Rolex Sky-Dweller
The packs that hold it, cheapest first, with the chance each site shows. We found it in at least 29 packs on 4 sites.
- 4 sites we review
- 29 packs found
- best chance 1 in 25
- odds as each site shows them
New to packs? How they work in three steps
How packs work, with this item's numbers
- A pack is a mystery boxEach pack on a site lists its items and the chance of each one.
- The price buys one openingOne opening costs $26.45 for a 1 in 6,667 chance at this one (Budget Watch on LuxDrop). The site draws one item at random.
- 1 in 6,667 is your chanceOn average, one opening in 6,667 gives the Rolex Sky-Dweller. The others give something else from the pack.
On average a pack pays back less than it costs. The house always wins.
Cheapest way in
One opening$26.45
Chance at the item1 in 6,667
Review Promo codes Affiliate link: search for "Budget Watch" on LuxDrop.
What does this price buy?
$26.45 buys one opening of Budget Watch with a 1 in 6,667 chance at the Rolex Sky-Dweller, not the item itself.
On average, one opening in 6,667 gives it. The others give something else from the pack.
The button is our affiliate link: it opens LuxDrop with our code, not the pack, so search for "Budget Watch" there.
How likely am I to get it?
Each site's best chance for this item, on one scale. The longer the bar, the likelier.
- LuxDrop 1 in 1,667Lasagna, $729.24 pack
- PackDraw 1 in 25Luxury Garage, $2,236.75 pack
- Cases.gg 1 in 125Rolex, $3,753.70 pack
- RillaBox 1 in 623Road Rage, $2,999.99 pack
The best chance is 1 in 25 for $2,236.75 a pack, in Luxury Garage on PackDraw.
What the sites value it at
$18,180 to $88,000
Why do the values differ?
Each site puts its own value on the item, and one name can cover several models or editions. It is what the site says the item is worth, not what you pay: you pay the pack's price.
Every pack we found it in
Cheapest first · 29 of 29 shown
How do I read this list?
- One opening
- The pack's price on the site. It buys one opening, and one item comes out.
- Chance
- How often this item comes out of that pack, as the site shows it. "1 in 20,000" means one opening in 20,000, on average. The bar runs from 1 in 1,000,000 to 1 in 10.
- Site's value
- What the site says the item is worth, next to the item's name on the site.
- Find
- Our affiliate link. It opens the site with our code, not the pack, so search for the pack by its name.
We list up to the eight cheapest packs per site and the one with the best chance for its price.
| Pack | One opening | Chance | Find it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Budget WatchCheapest LuxDrop · Rolex Sky-Dweller 42mm Steel Fluted White Dial · site's value $23,500 | $26.45 a pack | 1 in 6,6670.015% | Find |
| Yin Yang LuxDrop · Rolex Sky Dweller 42mm Black Diamond Iced Out White Dial · site's value $36,730 | $39.37 a pack | 1 in 50,0000.002% | Find |
| It's Due PackDraw · Rolex Sky-Dweller White Dial 42mm · site's value $27,000 | $59.25 a pack | 1 in 1,000,0000.0001% | Find |
| 1% Rollie LuxDrop · Rolex Sky-Dweller 42mm Steel Fluted White Dial · site's value $23,500 | $65.68 a pack | 1 in 100,0000.001% | Find |
| Best of 2024 PackDraw · Rolex Sky-Dweller White Dial 42mm · site's value $27,000 | $74.32 a pack | 1 in 1,000,0000.0001% | Find |
| SteveWillDoIt Junior PackDraw · Rolex Sky-Dweller Black Dial 42mm · site's value $22,500 | $79.06 a pack | 1 in 50,0000.002% | Find |
| SteveWillDoIt Junior PackDraw · Rolex Sky-Dweller Everose Gold Blue-Green Dial 42mm · site's value $88,000 | $79.06 a pack | 1 in 50,0000.002% | Find |
| SteveWillDoIt Junior PackDraw · Rolex Sky-Dweller Everose Gold Chocolate Dial 42mm · site's value $80,000 | $79.06 a pack | 1 in 50,0000.002% | Find |
| SteveWillDoIt Junior PackDraw · Rolex Sky-Dweller Everose Gold Intense White Dial 42mm · site's value $80,000 | $79.06 a pack | 1 in 50,0000.002% | Find |
| SteveWillDoIt Junior PackDraw · Rolex Sky-Dweller Everose Gold Slate Dial 42mm · site's value $80,000 | $79.06 a pack | 1 in 50,0000.002% | Find |
| SteveWillDoIt Junior PackDraw · Rolex Sky-Dweller Yellow Gold Black Dial 42mm · site's value $65,000 | $79.06 a pack | 1 in 50,0000.002% | Find |
| Rolexus LuxDrop · Rolex Sky-Dweller 42mm Fluted Bright Black Dial · site's value $29,750 | $88.37 a pack | 1 in 6,6670.015% | Find |
| Bezeljuice LuxDrop · Rolex Sky Dweller 42mm Black Diamond Iced Out White Dial · site's value $36,730 | $190.66 a pack | 1 in 10,0000.01% | Find |
| Honored One Cases.gg · Rolex Sky-Dweller 42mm 336935 Jubilee Chocolate Dial · site's value $79,750 | $201 a pack | 1 in 5,0000.02% | Find |
| 1% Rollie Cases.gg · Rolex Sky-Dweller with Mint Green Dial · site's value $33,000 | $211.38 a pack | 1 in 1,3330.075% | Find |
| 10% Rolex LuxDrop · Rolex Sky-Dweller 42mm 18kt Yellow Gold Champagne Dial · site's value $62,500 | $291.27 a pack | 1 in 50,0000.002% | Find |
| Wealthy Watches RillaBox · Rolex Sky-Dweller Blue Dial - 42mm, Steel and White Gold (2023) · site's value $23,200 | $379.99 a pack | 1 in 6,8030.015% | Find |
| Audi RillaBox · Rolex Sky-Dweller Black Dial - 42mm, Steel and White Gold · site's value $18,600 | $719.99 a pack | 1 in 1,7300.058% | Find |
| Lasagna LuxDrop · Rolex Sky-Dweller 42mm 18kt Yellow Gold Champagne Dial · site's value $62,500 | $729.24 a pack | 1 in 1,6670.06% | Find |
| Lasagna LuxDrop · Rolex Sky-Dweller 40mm 18kt Yellow Gold Bright Green Dial · site's value $59,500 | $729.24 a pack | 1 in 10,0000.01% | Find |
| Time is Money Cases.gg · Rolex Sky-Dweller with Mint Green Dial · site's value $33,000 | $953.85 a pack | 1 in 3700.27% | Find |
| Maserati RillaBox · Rolex Sky-Dweller Blue Dial - 42mm, Steel and White Gold (2023) · site's value $23,200 | $984.99 a pack | 1 in 9920.1% | Find |
| Rolex Deluxe RillaBox · Rolex Sky-Dweller Black Dial - 42mm, Steel and White Gold · site's value $18,600 | $1,289.99 a pack | 1 in 1,9840.05% | Find |
| Rolex Deluxe RillaBox · Rolex Sky-Dweller Blue Dial - 42mm, Steel and White Gold (2023) · site's value $23,200 | $1,289.99 a pack | 1 in 2,2940.044% | Find |
| Timepiece Treasure RillaBox · Rolex Sky-Dweller - 42mm, Steel and White Gold (2020) · site's value $18,180 | $1,499.99 a pack | 1 in 8410.12% | Find |
| AP Vs Rolex RillaBox · Rolex Sky-Dweller - 42mm, Steel and White Gold (2020) · site's value $18,180 | $2,189.99 a pack | 1 in 8310.12% | Find |
| Luxury GarageBest chance PackDraw · Rolex Sky-Dweller White Dial 42mm · site's value $27,000 | $2,236.75 a pack | 1 in 254% | Find |
| Road Rage RillaBox · Rolex Sky-Dweller Mint Green Dial - 42mm, Steel and White Gold · site's value $28,000 | $2,999.99 a pack | 1 in 6230.16% | Find |
| Rolex Cases.gg · Rolex Sky-Dweller with Mint Green Dial · site's value $33,000 | $3,753.70 a pack | 1 in 1250.8% | Find |
What we think
The Sky-Dweller is Rolex's annual calendar with a second time zone, one of its most complicated models. In the cheapest pack the chance is 1 in 6,667, so expect the small items, not the watch.
Want the sites rather than one item? Our Rolex Mystery Boxes list ranks them. Before you open a pack, read our LuxDrop review, PackDraw review, Cases.gg review and RillaBox review.
Other watches we track
Audemars Piguet
Audemars Piguet Royal Oak Offshore
From a $110.62 pack · 1 in 10,000
Best chance 1 in 33
At least 25 packs on 4 sites: PackDraw, Cases.gg, RillaBox, LuxDrop
Audemars Piguet
Audemars Piguet Royal Oak
From a $5.92 pack · 1 in 1,000,000
Best chance 1 in 50
At least 33 packs on 4 sites: LuxDrop, RillaBox, PackDraw, Cases.gg
Cartier
Cartier Santos
From a $2.58 pack · 1 in 500,000
Best chance 1 in 50
At least 32 packs on 5 sites: GOATbox.gg, LuxDrop, PackDraw, RillaBox, Cases.gg
Swatch
Omega x Swatch MoonSwatch
From a $0.82 pack · 1 in 100,000
Best chance 1 in 8
At least 29 packs on 5 sites: PackDraw, LuxDrop, Cases.gg, GOATbox.gg, RillaBox
Packs checked 10 Nov 2026. The chance, the pack price and the value are each site's own, read from its pack pages. "1 in N" is 100 divided by the chance. The buttons are our affiliate links: they open the site with our code, not the pack itself. We may earn a commission; it never changes the odds or the order here, which is always cheapest first. Opening packs is entertainment, not a cheap way to get this item: the house always wins. If it stops being fun, GambleAware can help.
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